Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Prediction & Picks - Dec. 11

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-11-4), coming off a 2-0 victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning, host the San Jose Sharks (14-14-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, Dec. 11 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Sharks were defeated by the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1 in their most recent outing.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which club we think will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

Over the past 10 contests, the Sharks have put up a 4-6-0 record after scoring 24 total goals (eight power-play goals on 40 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 20.0%). Their opponents have scored a combined 33 goals in those games.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Sharks 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-202)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Sharks (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (14-11-4 overall) have a 4-4-8 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Toronto is 6-3-3 (15 points) in its 12 games decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal, they lost in overtime.
  • Toronto has scored exactly two goals in nine games this season (3-5-1 record, seven points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 19 games (11-6-2, 24 points).
  • In the eight games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 3-4-1 record (seven points).
  • In the eight games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 2-5-1 (five points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 20 times, and went 11-6-3 (25 points).

Sharks Splits and Trends

  • The Sharks have posted a record of 6-3-9 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 14-14-3.
  • San Jose has earned 16 points (7-4-2) in its 13 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Sharks scored only one goal in six games and they lost every time.
  • San Jose has earned five points (2-1-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Sharks have scored more than two goals in 18 games, earning 26 points from those contests.
  • San Jose has scored a lone power-play goal in 13 games this season and has recorded 15 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent, San Jose is winless (0-4-0) this season.
  • The Sharks' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Sharks went 14-10-3 in those matchups (31 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Sharks AVG Sharks Rank
5th 3.34 Goals Scored 2.77 24th
20th 3.17 Goals Allowed 3.29 23rd
21st 26.9 Shots 23.8 32nd
31st 31.3 Shots Allowed 31.2 30th
32nd 13.7% Power Play % 18.75% 17th
13th 81.71% Penalty Kill % 80.39% 19th

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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